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2026 MLB Home Run Title Odds: Aaron Judge Tops Early Field

The 2026 MLB regular season is still more than a month away, but we are turning the page on various MLB odds.

Aaron Judge (+350) is the early favorite to lead MLB in home runs in 2026, narrowly edging Los Angeles Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani (+400). Meanwhile, 2025 home run champion Cal Raleigh is fourth on the board at +900, just behind Kyle Schwarber (+800).

Athletics first baseman Nick Kurtz represents the new blood, sitting at +1000 as we get ready for spring training.

Let's take a look at the early MLB home run title odds for 2026 below.

Odds to win 2025 MLB home run title

Player
Yankees Aaron Judge <<+350>>
Dodgers Shohei Ohtani <<+400>>
Phillies Kyle Schwarber <<+800>>
Mariners Cal Raleigh<<+900>>
Athletics Nick Kurtz<<+1000>>
Orioles Pete Alonso<<+1300>>
Mets Juan Soto<<+1700>>
Rays Junior Caminero<<+2500>>
Braves Matt Olson<<+3000>>
Blue Jays Vladimir Guerrero Jr.<<+3000>>
Padres Fernando Tatis Jr.<<+4500>>
Reds Eugenio Suarez<<+4500>>
Astros Yordan Alvarez<<+4500>>
Brent Rooker<<+4500>>
Ronald Acuña Jr.<<+4500>>
Julio Rodriguez<<+5500>>
Giants Rafael Devers<<+6000>>
Royals Jac Caglianone<<+7500>>

Odds as of 2-12.

Recent single-season home run leaders

Here are each of the last 10 home run champions:

YearPlayer (No. of home runs)
2025Cal Raleigh (60)
2024 Aaron Judge (58)
2023 Matt Olson (54)
2022 Aaron Judge (62)
2021 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. &  Salvador Perez (48)
2020 Luke Voit (22)
2019 Pete Alonso (53)
2018 Khris Davis (48)
2017Marlins Giancarlo Stanton (59)
2016 Mark Trumbo (47)

Popular MLB futures markets

Understanding MLB HR title betting odds

Betting MLB home run title odds is about as simple as it gets. You are just betting on which player will end the regular season with the most home runs in the MLB. HR title betting futures are usually shown in American-style odds and usually look like this:

  • Pete Alonso +800

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $800 if Alonso wins the MLB home run title. Now, most of these markets close when the season starts. But some sportsbooks may post updated odds at different points in the season, and if one player has a large lead in home runs you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of their odds:

  • Aaron Judge -110

This means that you would need to bet $110 to win $100 on Judge winning the MLB home run title. If you want to see the odds in a different format check out our odds converter tool.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here

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